Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 17:45
11.3868.2%
X4.8019.6%
27.7012.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
WWDWWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
For Sittard
DLDDWLDLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.20
Against
6.50
8.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Twente attack

2.60goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.70
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.40goals per match
Twente conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.50
8.40
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.50
Match total
4.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
19.00
Match total
24.70

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.00
On target
3.70
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches232
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.2%69.8%+1.6 pp
Draw19.6%17.2%-2.4 pp
Away12.2%12.9%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

2.120.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.4%
2-113.4%
2-012.1%
3-08.6%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.883.23
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.3%48.8%–72.4% CI
Draw FT24.2%15.2%–36.2% CI
Away FT14.5%7.8%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.3%
2+ goals51.6%
3+ goals25.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.3%
Away38.7%