Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 13:30
14.0623.2%
X3.7425.2%
21.8351.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
WLWDDDDDWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Twente
LDWWLLLDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
10.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
3.80
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

2.20goals per match
Twente conceded2.00
Matchup

Twente attack

1.40goals per match
Heracles conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
10.10
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.70
Match total
21.30

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.10
On target
4.70
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches262
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%20.2%-3.0 pp
Draw25.2%24.4%-0.8 pp
Away51.5%55.3%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.051.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-211.5%
0-29.2%
0-18.0%
1-37.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.545.43
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=262.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.1%7.8%–24.0% CI
Draw FT38.0%27.6%–49.7% CI
Away FT47.9%36.7%–59.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.7%
Away70.4%