Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 15:45
12.3040.9%
X3.4227.5%
22.9831.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
WLWLDLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Twente
DWDLDWWLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
2.80
Against
3.90
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.10goals per matchTwente conceded1.20Matchup
Twente attack
1.50goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.90
9.10
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.20
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.80N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
18.50
Match total
18.60
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.60
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches682
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%40.2%-0.7 pp
Draw27.5%29.0%+1.5 pp
Away31.6%30.8%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
1.46–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-28.7%
1-08.5%
0-18.2%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.57
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=681.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.7%28.4%–41.7% CI
Draw FT40.4%33.7%–47.5% CI
Away FT24.9%19.3%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals16.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.4%
Away46.6%