Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 15:45
12.3040.9%
X3.4227.5%
22.9831.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WLWLDLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Twente
DWDLDWWLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
2.80
Against
3.90
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.10goals per match
Twente conceded1.20
Matchup

Twente attack

1.50goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.90
9.10
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.20
Match total
2.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
18.50
Match total
18.60

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.60
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches682
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%40.2%-0.7 pp
Draw27.5%29.0%+1.5 pp
Away31.6%30.8%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.461.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-28.7%
1-08.5%
0-18.2%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.57
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=681.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.7%28.4%–41.7% CI
Draw FT40.4%33.7%–47.5% CI
Away FT24.9%19.3%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals16.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away46.6%