Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 15:45
12.6835.2%
X3.5726.4%
22.4638.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WWWDWDDWDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Twente
DDWDLDWWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.00
Against
4.30
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.50goals per match
Twente conceded1.20
Matchup

Twente attack

1.60goals per match
Ajax conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.30
8.80
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.30
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
17.20
Match total
20.30

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
6.90
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%42.4%+7.2 pp
Draw26.4%22.5%-3.9 pp
Away38.4%35.1%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.7%
BTTS61.6%

Historical average

1.641.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.3%
2-19.3%
1-07.3%
2-27.3%
1-37.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.345.07
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.561.6%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%29.5%–60.4% CI
Draw FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Away FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.9%
Away52.8%