Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 20:00
11.4167.3%
X4.7020.2%
27.5812.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
WDLWWWLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
For Sittard
LLLLDWLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.00
Against
5.30
10.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Twente attack

2.00goals per match
For Sittard conceded2.20
Matchup

For Sittard attack

0.60goals per match
Twente conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.30
10.50
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.50
Match total
2.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.60
Match total
19.40

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.60
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.3%71.3%+4.0 pp
Draw20.2%16.8%-3.4 pp
Away12.5%11.9%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

2.160.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.9%
2-012.4%
1-011.9%
3-08.9%
1-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.35
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.2%41.0%–65.1% CI
Draw FT29.0%19.2%–41.3% CI
Away FT17.7%10.2%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.7%
2+ goals53.2%
3+ goals24.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.8%
Away41.9%