Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-03 · 20:00
13.5826.4%
X3.8224.8%
21.9448.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
DWWWLDWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Twente
WDDWDLDWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.00
Against
4.30
11.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

2.00goals per match
Twente conceded0.90
Matchup

Twente attack

1.60goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.30
11.70
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
19.60
Match total
21.30

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.50
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%23.1%-3.4 pp
Draw24.8%21.4%-3.3 pp
Away48.8%55.5%+6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.091.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.0%
1-211.0%
0-18.8%
1-08.8%
0-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.205.61
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.6%13.5%–35.5% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.7%–47.4% CI
Away FT43.4%31.0%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals49.1%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away60.4%