Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-04-03 · 20:00
13.5826.4%
X3.8224.8%
21.9448.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heerenveen
DWWWLDWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Twente
WDDWDLDWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.00
Against
4.30
11.70
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heerenveen attack
2.00goals per matchTwente conceded0.90Matchup
Twente attack
1.60goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.30
11.70
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
19.60
Match total
21.30
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.50
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%23.1%-3.4 pp
Draw24.8%21.4%-3.3 pp
Away48.8%55.5%+6.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS54.4%
Historical average
1.09–1.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.0%
1-211.0%
0-18.8%
1-08.8%
0-28.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.20–5.61
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.6%13.5%–35.5% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.7%–47.4% CI
Away FT43.4%31.0%–56.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals49.1%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.9%
Away60.4%