Eredivisie · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 13:30
11.2277.3%
X6.4614.6%
211.668.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
WWDLWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Heracles
LLLWLWLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.80
Against
8.40
10.20
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Twente attack

2.00goals per match
Heracles conceded2.30
Matchup

Heracles attack

0.90goals per match
Twente conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.80
Corners against
8.40
10.20
Match total
12.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
19.50
Match total
17.70

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.60
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches100
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.3%73.0%-4.3 pp
Draw14.6%17.0%+2.4 pp
Away8.1%10.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

2.360.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
4-012.0%
2-011.0%
1-110.0%
3-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.922.77
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away42.9%