Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 13:30
14.0023.7%
X4.2522.3%
21.7554.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
DWWDWDWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Ajax
DDDWWWWDLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
2.30
0.90
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
2.00
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.90
Against
4.30
11.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
2.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
3.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Twente attack

2.50goals per match
Ajax conceded1.40
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.30goals per match
Twente conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.30
11.40
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
20.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

20.70N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
6.70
On target
5.20
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%16.7%-7.0 pp
Draw22.3%16.7%-5.6 pp
Away54.1%66.7%+12.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.002.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-122.2%
2-111.1%
2-211.1%
0-55.6%
0-25.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.786.61
Average total11.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.572.2%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.544.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away61.5%