Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 17:45
15.6516.8%
X4.3721.7%
21.5461.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
LWLWWLDLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Twente
LLWDDDDLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.20
Against
5.00
11.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.10goals per match
Twente conceded1.30
Matchup

Twente attack

1.00goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.00
11.30
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.50
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
17.80
Match total
21.60

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
3.20
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.8%16.2%-0.6 pp
Draw21.7%18.1%-3.6 pp
Away61.5%65.7%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

0.842.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.2%
0-110.5%
0-210.5%
2-26.7%
1-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.746.28
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=105.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT56.5%36.8%–74.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away65.2%