Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 19:00
12.1743.7%
X3.4527.5%
23.2828.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
WWWWDWWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WWLLWWWDLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.00
Against
3.90
10.20
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Twente attack

2.30goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.80goals per match
Twente conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.90
10.20
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
19.10
Match total
21.70

Shots

19.10N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches493
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%44.0%+0.4 pp
Draw27.5%30.2%+2.8 pp
Away28.9%25.8%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.531.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-09.9%
2-09.1%
0-18.3%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.36
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=493.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%24.1%–39.0% CI
Draw FT42.1%34.3%–50.2% CI
Away FT26.9%20.3%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away46.2%