Eredivisie · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 17:45
13.6126.2%
X3.6625.8%
21.9748.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
LWWDLLDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Twente
DLLWDDDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.80N=10
6.10
Against
5.60
11.40
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.20goals per match
Twente conceded1.40
Matchup

Twente attack

0.80goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.60
11.40
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.90
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
17.60
Match total
21.00

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%19.7%-6.5 pp
Draw25.8%26.9%+1.1 pp
Away48.0%53.4%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.041.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.1%
1-110.1%
0-09.6%
1-29.6%
0-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.325.51
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.3%6.6%–21.8% CI
Draw FT43.8%33.0%–55.2% CI
Away FT43.8%33.0%–55.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals19.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.1%
Away61.6%