Eredivisie · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 19:00
13.3028.7%
X3.3528.3%
22.2142.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
DWLWDDWWDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Twente
LWWWDWLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.30goals per match
Twente conceded1.40
Matchup

Twente attack

1.50goals per match
Heracles conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.20
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
20.40
Match total
20.10

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
5.80
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches313
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%25.6%-3.2 pp
Draw28.3%29.4%+1.1 pp
Away42.9%45.0%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.011.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
0-010.5%
1-210.2%
0-110.2%
1-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.585.17
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=313.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.6%15.0%–30.2% CI
Draw FT47.7%38.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT30.6%22.8%–39.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.1%
Away53.2%