Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 17:45
12.8233.5%
X3.6625.8%
22.3340.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
WWLLWLWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Twente
WWDDLWDLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.30
Against
3.10
9.90
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.30goals per match
Twente conceded1.40
Matchup

Twente attack

1.30goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.10
9.90
Match total
7.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.00
Match total
1.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
23.20
Match total
18.50

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%38.6%+5.1 pp
Draw25.8%36.4%+10.5 pp
Away40.6%25.0%-15.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS77.3%

Historical average

1.611.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.2%
2-215.9%
1-111.4%
1-211.4%
0-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.434.41
Average total8.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.538.6%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away53.8%