Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-19 · 19:00
12.8633.0%
X3.4227.6%
22.4039.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WLDLLDWWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Twente
WWWWDDLWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.30
Against
4.00
11.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.70goals per match
Twente conceded1.60
Matchup

Twente attack

1.90goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.00
11.10
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
1.90
Match total
1.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
17.00
Match total
19.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.10
On target
4.80
14%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%21.0%-12.0 pp
Draw27.6%38.3%+10.7 pp
Away39.4%40.7%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.121.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
2-212.3%
1-29.9%
0-28.6%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.77
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.0%
Away52.0%