Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 19:00
11.4365.9%
X4.7519.8%
26.6114.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WWLWWWLLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Twente
LWWWWDDLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.20
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.20goals per match
Twente conceded1.40
Matchup

Twente attack

1.90goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.60
Match total
1.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.50
Match total
19.20

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.00
On target
4.70
16%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.9%69.0%+3.1 pp
Draw19.8%21.1%+1.3 pp
Away14.3%9.9%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.540.8%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

2.320.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.5%
3-19.9%
3-08.5%
0-08.5%
1-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.513.55
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away31.3%