Eredivisie · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 20:00
12.5736.6%
X3.3827.9%
22.6535.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
DLWLLLWWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Twente
WLWWWWDDLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.60
Against
5.40
8.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.30goals per match
Twente conceded1.20
Matchup

Twente attack

2.00goals per match
Heracles conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.40
8.90
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.00
Match total
2.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
25.00
Match total
18.70

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.40
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches191
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%38.2%+1.6 pp
Draw27.9%24.1%-3.8 pp
Away35.5%37.7%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.341.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-213.6%
1-012.0%
2-110.5%
0-25.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.91
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=191.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.3%32.7%–58.5% CI
Draw FT28.3%18.0%–41.6% CI
Away FT26.4%16.4%–39.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.7%
2+ goals54.7%
3+ goals28.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.6%
Away56.6%