Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 18:45
11.6258.1%
X4.1122.9%
24.9619.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vitesse
WWWLLDWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Twente
WLLLLDLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.90
Against
6.70
10.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vitesse attack

1.80goals per match
Twente conceded2.20
Matchup

Twente attack

0.80goals per match
Vitesse conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.70
10.20
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.80
Match total
24.30

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.1%38.9%-19.2 pp
Draw22.9%16.7%-6.2 pp
Away19.0%44.4%+25.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.941.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-222.2%
0-311.1%
1-111.1%
2-05.6%
3-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.283.94
Average total11.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.577.8%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away41.7%