Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 19:45
12.5337.2%
X3.5626.4%
22.5836.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
WLLWWLLDWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Heerenveen
LLWWDLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.40
1.70
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
9.30
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Twente attack

1.70goals per match
Heerenveen conceded2.10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.70goals per match
Twente conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
9.30
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.10
Match total
2.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
25.20
Match total
18.80

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.00
On target
5.40
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.2%47.2%+10.0 pp
Draw26.4%22.6%-3.8 pp
Away36.4%30.2%-6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.431.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.3%
0-19.4%
2-19.4%
2-09.4%
3-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.135.75
Average total10.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.564.2%
Over 10.550.9%
Over 11.547.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away37.5%