Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 11:15
11.4266.4%
X4.6520.3%
27.0413.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Utrecht
WLWWWWLLLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Twente
DWLLLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.40
Against
6.50
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Utrecht attack

2.30goals per match
Twente conceded2.00
Matchup

Twente attack

0.70goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.50
11.20
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
21.50
Match total
24.50

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.4%71.0%+4.6 pp
Draw20.3%22.6%+2.3 pp
Away13.4%6.5%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

2.480.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
1-112.9%
3-09.7%
0-26.5%
1-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.293.84
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away20.0%