Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 11:15
11.4266.4%
X4.6520.3%
27.0413.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Utrecht
WLWWWWLLLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Twente
DWLLLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.40
Against
6.50
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Utrecht attack
2.30goals per matchTwente conceded2.00Matchup
Twente attack
0.70goals per matchUtrecht conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.50
11.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
21.50
Match total
24.50
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.4%71.0%+4.6 pp
Draw20.3%22.6%+2.3 pp
Away13.4%6.5%-6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS51.6%
Historical average
2.48–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.1%
1-112.9%
3-09.7%
0-26.5%
1-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.29–3.84
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away20.0%