Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 17:30
16.0315.6%
X4.5620.7%
21.4863.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
DWLLWWLLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
WLWWDWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.00
1.80
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.20
Against
4.00
9.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded
0.70
3.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Twente attack

1.80goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded0.70
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.00goals per match
Twente conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.00
9.50
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.90
Match total
23.60

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.10
On target
5.50
17%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.6%25.0%+9.4 pp
Draw20.7%16.7%-4.0 pp
Away63.7%58.3%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.171.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-216.7%
1-216.7%
2-116.7%
0-116.7%
0-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.335.92
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.58.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%