Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 18:45
12.2841.3%
X3.5926.2%
22.9032.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
DDWLLWWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
DWDLDLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
7.20
9.00
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Twente attack

1.70goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded2.20
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

0.90goals per match
Twente conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.20
9.00
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
24.50
Match total
23.40

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.00
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%31.9%-9.4 pp
Draw26.2%27.7%+1.4 pp
Away32.5%40.4%+8.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.341.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-212.8%
1-28.5%
1-18.5%
0-08.5%
2-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.72
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.540.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away27.3%