Eredivisie · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 18:45
12.2841.3%
X3.5926.2%
22.9032.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Twente
DDWLLWWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
DWDLDLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
7.20
9.00
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.60
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Twente attack
1.70goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded2.20Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
0.90goals per matchTwente conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.20
9.00
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
24.50
Match total
23.40
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.00
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%31.9%-9.4 pp
Draw26.2%27.7%+1.4 pp
Away32.5%40.4%+8.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.34–1.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-212.8%
1-28.5%
1-18.5%
0-08.5%
2-28.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.51–4.72
Average total10.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.540.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away27.3%