Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-05-01 · 14:00
11.7554.5%
X3.8424.8%
24.6220.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
LWWLWLLDLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Metz
WLDWDDLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
9.10
10.70
Total
13.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.10goals per match
Metz conceded1.60
Matchup

Metz attack

0.50goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
9.10
10.70
Match total
13.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.90
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.30
Match total
27.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.60
On target
1.80
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%59.7%+5.2 pp
Draw24.8%21.9%-2.9 pp
Away20.6%18.4%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.760.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.7%
2-112.4%
1-011.0%
1-110.2%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.783.97
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=283.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.1%34.4%–54.2% CI
Draw FT34.4%25.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT21.5%14.4%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.0%
Away43.0%