Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 16:00
11.6458.3%
X3.9924.0%
25.3817.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
DDWLWDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Nantes
DWWLLDLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.40
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.60goals per match
Nantes conceded1.10
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Lens conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
19.60
Match total
22.50

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.20
On target
2.80
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%62.4%+4.1 pp
Draw24.0%18.8%-5.2 pp
Away17.8%18.8%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.860.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
2-014.1%
0-110.7%
1-19.4%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.79
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.7%38.7%–67.9% CI
Draw FT22.0%12.0%–36.7% CI
Away FT24.4%13.8%–39.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.2%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.9%
Away51.2%