Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 14:00
11.6358.7%
X3.9824.0%
25.5517.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LLLWWLWWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Troyes
LLLWLLLWDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
5.10
9.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
1.90
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nice attack

0.90goals per match
Troyes conceded2.10
Matchup

Troyes attack

0.90goals per match
Nice conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.10
9.70
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.00
Match total
4.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
22.30
Match total
25.50

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.00
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%60.2%+1.5 pp
Draw24.0%21.4%-2.7 pp
Away17.2%18.4%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

1.970.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
2-012.6%
0-110.7%
1-08.7%
3-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.953.65
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.9%30.9%–63.6% CI
Draw FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI
Away FT28.1%15.6%–45.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals53.1%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away56.3%