Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 20:00
11.2974.1%
X6.0015.9%
29.6010.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Lens
LDLLWLWDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.10
0.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.50
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.50goals per match
Lens conceded1.70
Matchup

Lens attack

1.10goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.20
Match total
21.00

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.50
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.1%80.0%+5.9 pp
Draw15.9%8.6%-7.4 pp
Away10.0%11.4%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.554.3%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

2.690.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-014.3%
1-011.4%
2-011.4%
3-211.4%
3-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.893.40
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away26.7%