Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 20:00
11.2974.1%
X6.0015.9%
29.6010.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Lens
LDLLWLWDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
1.10
0.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.50
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.50goals per matchLens conceded1.70Matchup
Lens attack
1.10goals per matchParis SG conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.20
Match total
21.00
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.50
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.1%80.0%+5.9 pp
Draw15.9%8.6%-7.4 pp
Away10.0%11.4%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.554.3%
BTTS42.9%
Historical average
2.69–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-014.3%
1-011.4%
2-011.4%
3-211.4%
3-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.89–3.40
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.537.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home86.7%
Away26.7%