Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-20 · 20:00
11.6458.4%
X3.9824.1%
25.4817.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DWLDDWLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Nantes
LDWWLLDLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.40
Against
5.90
10.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.30goals per match
Nantes conceded1.10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Marseille conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.90
10.40
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.70
Match total
22.00

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.4%63.0%+4.6 pp
Draw24.1%17.5%-6.5 pp
Away17.5%19.5%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.910.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
2-013.0%
1-09.7%
1-19.1%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.193.78
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.2%32.0%–63.0% CI
Draw FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI
Away FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.1%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.9%
Away47.2%