Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-20 · 18:00
11.7953.5%
X3.6526.2%
24.7120.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
LLLDDWLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Metz
DWLDWDDLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.20
Against
9.00
9.30
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Metz conceded1.50
Matchup

Metz attack

0.50goals per match
Lorient conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
9.00
9.30
Match total
12.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.50
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.30
Match total
25.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.00
On target
1.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches274
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%54.0%+0.6 pp
Draw26.2%26.6%+0.4 pp
Away20.3%19.3%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.630.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
2-113.1%
1-011.3%
2-09.5%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.04
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=274.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.7%30.9%–51.3% CI
Draw FT36.0%26.7%–46.6% CI
Away FT23.3%15.6%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals46.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.1%
Away44.2%