Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 12:00
11.7355.1%
X3.7325.6%
24.9519.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
DLLLWWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lorient
LLLLLLDWWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
10.20
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
1.80
Total goals
3.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nice attack

0.80goals per match
Lorient conceded2.30
Matchup

Lorient attack

0.80goals per match
Nice conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
10.20
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.10
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
22.50
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.10
On target
4.20
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches259
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%56.8%+1.6 pp
Draw25.6%25.5%-0.1 pp
Away19.3%17.8%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.590.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
1-113.1%
2-112.7%
2-012.4%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.13
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=259.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.5%40.6%–60.5% CI
Draw FT36.6%27.5%–46.7% CI
Away FT12.9%7.5%–21.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals49.5%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away35.5%