Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 12:00
12.1444.7%
X3.3628.5%
23.5726.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Strasbourg
LWWDWLWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Lens
LLLDLLWLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.50
Against
4.80
11.20
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Strasbourg attack
2.10goals per matchLens conceded1.80Matchup
Lens attack
1.00goals per matchStrasbourg conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.80
11.20
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.30
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.40
Match total
21.50
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.70
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches495
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%42.4%-2.3 pp
Draw28.5%31.3%+2.8 pp
Away26.8%26.3%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.38–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
1-011.5%
2-110.3%
0-09.9%
0-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–4.47
Average total9.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=495.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.1%27.4%–41.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%35.7%–50.5% CI
Away FT22.9%17.3%–29.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.8%
Away41.2%