Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 12:00
12.1444.7%
X3.3628.5%
23.5726.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
LWWDWLWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Lens
LLLDLLWLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.50
Against
4.80
11.20
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

2.10goals per match
Lens conceded1.80
Matchup

Lens attack

1.00goals per match
Strasbourg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.80
11.20
Match total
8.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.30
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.40
Match total
21.50

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.70
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches495
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%42.4%-2.3 pp
Draw28.5%31.3%+2.8 pp
Away26.8%26.3%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.381.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-011.5%
2-110.3%
0-09.9%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.47
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=495.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.1%27.4%–41.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%35.7%–50.5% CI
Away FT22.9%17.3%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away41.2%