Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 14:00
13.4327.8%
X3.2929.0%
22.2143.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
DDLLLDDWLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Strasbourg
LDDWWWLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
9.80
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
0.70goals per matchStrasbourg conceded1.10Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.70goals per matchLorient conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
9.80
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
22.40
Match total
21.10
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.10
On target
4.70
6%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches272
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%22.4%-5.4 pp
Draw29.0%33.8%+4.8 pp
Away43.2%43.8%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS44.9%
Historical average
0.90–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.1%
1-113.2%
0-111.4%
1-29.6%
1-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.68–5.11
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=272.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.8%7.5%–21.0% CI
Draw FT57.4%47.4%–67.0% CI
Away FT29.8%21.5%–39.7% CI
Remaining goals
0.99
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal56.4%
2+ goals30.9%
3+ goals8.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home29.8%
Away46.8%