Ligue 1 · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 14:00
13.7925.1%
X3.4427.7%
22.0247.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
LLDDLWLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Lens
WLLLDLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.80
9.30
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.10goals per match
Lens conceded2.00
Matchup

Lens attack

1.30goals per match
Metz conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.80
9.30
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.10
Match total
20.80

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%26.8%+1.7 pp
Draw27.7%25.6%-2.1 pp
Away47.2%47.6%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS41.5%

Historical average

0.901.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.2%
0-012.2%
1-012.2%
1-112.2%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.885.11
Average total8.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.2%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI
Draw FT48.5%32.5%–64.8% CI
Away FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.4%
Away57.6%