Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 20:00
13.4427.7%
X3.5426.9%
22.1045.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
DDWDLLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Marseille
DLDDDLLDWL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.50
Against
6.00
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Metz attack

0.70goals per match
Marseille conceded1.60
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.00goals per match
Metz conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.00
9.30
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
27.00
Match total
27.30

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%23.0%-4.7 pp
Draw26.9%28.4%+1.5 pp
Away45.4%48.6%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.545.9%
BTTS73.0%

Historical average

1.411.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-39.5%
1-29.5%
0-08.1%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.22
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away70.0%