Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 20:00
11.2179.0%
X7.0813.5%
212.697.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lyon
WLWWLWLWLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Nice
DWLLLWDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
9.50
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.50
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lyon attack
2.10goals per matchNice conceded1.50Matchup
Nice attack
1.10goals per matchLyon conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
9.50
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.80
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.70
Match total
24.60
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.40
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.0%57.1%-21.8 pp
Draw13.5%23.8%+10.3 pp
Away7.5%19.0%+11.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS42.9%
Historical average
1.90–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.3%
2-014.3%
1-19.5%
1-29.5%
2-29.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.81–2.86
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away50.0%