Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 20:00
15.0418.9%
X4.2822.3%
21.6258.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
LLDDWDDWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Monaco
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.50
1.30
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.30
Against
3.80
9.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.50
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.30goals per match
Monaco conceded0.90
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.50goals per match
Lens conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.80
9.40
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.80
Match total
23.90

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
22%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%11.1%-7.8 pp
Draw22.3%25.9%+3.7 pp
Away58.8%63.0%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

0.932.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-314.8%
0-314.8%
0-211.1%
1-111.1%
0-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.705.96
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away72.7%