Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 20:00
110.599.0%
X6.5214.6%
21.2576.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
WLLWLWDDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Paris SG
DWLWWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.30
1.70
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.30
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.50goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.90
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.30goals per match
Brest conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.20
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.90
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.0%8.3%-0.7 pp
Draw14.6%0.0%-14.6 pp
Away76.4%91.7%+15.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.566.7%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

0.833.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-325.0%
0-125.0%
1-416.7%
4-38.3%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

2.508.25
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.566.7%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away80.0%