Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 20:00
17.5412.7%
X5.3817.7%
21.3769.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nimes
LLLWWDDLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Lyon
WDWWWDDDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.30
1.50
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.00
Against
4.40
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nimes attack

1.20goals per match
Lyon conceded1.10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.30goals per match
Nimes conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.40
9.70
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
27.70
Match total
26.20

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
3.20
On target
6.20
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.7%14.3%+1.6 pp
Draw17.7%23.8%+6.1 pp
Away69.6%61.9%-7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.552.4%
BTTS85.7%

Historical average

1.332.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
1-214.3%
1-39.5%
1-69.5%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.147.62
Average total10.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.547.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away70.6%