Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 20:00
12.3241.1%
X3.7925.1%
22.8233.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
LDLLWWDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Brest
LLLDDLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.00
Against
4.60
11.00
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.90
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

2.00goals per match
Brest conceded1.80
Matchup

Brest attack

0.80goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.60
11.00
Match total
8.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.70
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.80
Match total
25.60

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
6.20
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%34.5%-6.6 pp
Draw25.1%15.5%-9.6 pp
Away33.8%50.0%+16.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.341.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.5%
1-010.3%
2-110.3%
0-28.6%
1-38.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.93
Average total10.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.1%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away25.0%