Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 20:00
11.6258.8%
X3.9724.0%
25.5617.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
LWWWLWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Metz
LWWLWWDLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Against
6.10
9.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

2.00goals per match
Metz conceded1.30
Matchup

Metz attack

1.60goals per match
Lorient conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.10
9.70
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.20
Match total
27.30

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.8%65.7%+6.9 pp
Draw24.0%15.7%-8.3 pp
Away17.1%18.6%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.930.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
1-011.4%
2-111.4%
3-17.1%
3-05.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.864.19
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals18.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away31.3%