Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 20:00
11.3670.1%
X4.8419.7%
29.3510.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
DLWWDDWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
St Etienne
DLLWWLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
0.70
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.50
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
1.10goals per matchSt Etienne conceded1.20Matchup
St Etienne attack
1.40goals per matchLille conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
23.70
Match total
28.40
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.1%73.3%+3.2 pp
Draw19.7%20.0%+0.3 pp
Away10.2%6.7%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.553.3%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.56.7%
BTTS26.7%
Historical average
1.47–0.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-040.0%
2-020.0%
1-113.3%
0-06.7%
3-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.80–2.40
Average total8.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.526.7%
Over 10.513.3%
Over 11.56.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.0%
Away30.0%