Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 20:00
18.2511.5%
X4.6620.4%
21.4068.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dijon
LDDLLLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Nantes
LDLDWDWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
2.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
5.00
7.20
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dijon attack
0.50goals per matchNantes conceded1.30Matchup
Nantes attack
1.40goals per matchDijon conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.00
7.20
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.20
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
24.20
Match total
30.70
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
2.40
On target
3.50
5%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%6.5%-5.0 pp
Draw20.4%23.9%+3.5 pp
Away68.0%69.6%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
0.61–1.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-119.6%
0-217.4%
1-110.9%
2-16.5%
0-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.37–5.72
Average total9.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.541.3%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.515.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals38.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.8%
Away76.9%