Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 20:00
18.2511.5%
X4.6620.4%
21.4068.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dijon
LDDLLLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Nantes
LDLDWDWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
5.00
7.20
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Dijon attack

0.50goals per match
Nantes conceded1.30
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.40goals per match
Dijon conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.00
7.20
Match total
9.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.20
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
24.20
Match total
30.70

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
2.40
On target
3.50
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%6.5%-5.0 pp
Draw20.4%23.9%+3.5 pp
Away68.0%69.6%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

0.611.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.6%
0-217.4%
1-110.9%
2-16.5%
0-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.375.72
Average total9.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.541.3%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.515.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away76.9%