Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 20:00
13.6226.4%
X3.6126.4%
22.0247.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bordeaux
LWWLDLLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Lens
LDWWDDWWDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.50
0.90
2H goals
1.50
40%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.50
Against
6.70
8.70
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bordeaux attack
0.90goals per matchLens conceded1.40Matchup
Lens attack
1.60goals per matchBordeaux conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.70
8.70
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.50
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.70
Match total
25.50
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.20
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%27.1%+0.8 pp
Draw26.4%31.4%+5.0 pp
Away47.2%41.4%-5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.10–1.49
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-012.9%
1-110.0%
0-110.0%
1-28.6%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.27–5.37
Average total9.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.524.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%31.4%–68.6% CI
Away FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away50.0%