Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 14:00
12.4039.7%
X3.3728.3%
22.9732.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LDLLWLWWDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Brest
DLLLDDLLLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.70
Against
5.20
11.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.50goals per match
Brest conceded1.70
Matchup

Brest attack

0.80goals per match
Nice conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.70
Corners against
5.20
11.40
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.10
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.80
Match total
25.50

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.30
On target
2.10
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%38.1%-1.6 pp
Draw28.3%31.9%+3.6 pp
Away32.1%30.0%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.361.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
1-210.6%
1-09.4%
2-19.4%
2-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.72
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI
Draw FT37.8%25.1%–52.4% CI
Away FT28.9%17.7%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.8%
Away51.1%