Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 14:00
12.8134.0%
X3.4427.7%
22.4938.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
WDDWDLLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Nimes
DLWLLWLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.20
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Metz attack

0.90goals per match
Nimes conceded2.00
Matchup

Nimes attack

1.20goals per match
Metz conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
27.00
Match total
24.20

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.0%31.3%-2.7 pp
Draw27.7%29.7%+2.0 pp
Away38.3%39.1%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.181.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
0-19.9%
1-09.4%
2-17.8%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.985.20
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=192.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%10.2%–30.3% CI
Draw FT38.2%26.5%–51.4% CI
Away FT43.6%31.4%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals7.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.2%
Away60.0%