Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 16:00
11.4068.0%
X5.1118.6%
27.1113.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WWLWWLWLWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Lorient
LDLDDLDDLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.00
10.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
3.30
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.00goals per match
Lorient conceded1.90
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.10goals per match
Lyon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.00
10.50
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.80
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.40
Match total
23.90

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
6.40
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.0%64.7%-3.3 pp
Draw18.6%17.6%-1.0 pp
Away13.4%17.6%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

2.120.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
2-011.8%
3-111.8%
3-011.8%
0-111.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.533.71
Average total11.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.588.2%
Over 9.582.4%
Over 10.570.6%
Over 11.552.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals70.6%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away41.2%