Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 20:00
14.1822.9%
X3.4527.7%
21.9449.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WLLDDWDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lille
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Against
4.50
9.40
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.50
2.60
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.50goals per match
Lille conceded0.50
Matchup

Lille attack

2.00goals per match
Lens conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.50
9.40
Match total
7.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.00
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.70
12%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.9%32.1%+9.2 pp
Draw27.7%21.4%-6.3 pp
Away49.3%46.4%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS44.0%

Historical average

0.991.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.7%
1-114.3%
1-211.9%
0-110.7%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.984.98
Average total8.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.4%
Over 9.534.5%
Over 10.526.2%
Over 11.520.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals21.7%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away34.8%