Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 20:00
12.3041.5%
X3.5826.6%
22.9931.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monaco
LDWWWDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Lyon
WWDWWWDDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.10
Against
4.40
8.10
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monaco attack
2.10goals per matchLyon conceded0.90Matchup
Lyon attack
2.10goals per matchMonaco conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.40
8.10
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.70
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
26.80
Match total
25.10
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
5.30
On target
6.20
19%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%38.6%-2.8 pp
Draw26.6%23.9%-2.8 pp
Away31.9%37.5%+5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
1.40–1.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-210.2%
0-09.1%
1-09.1%
2-19.1%
0-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.34–4.85
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%32.1%–67.9% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT15.4%6.2%–33.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals26.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.7%
Away26.9%