Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 20:00
12.3041.5%
X3.5826.6%
22.9931.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
LDWWWDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Lyon
WWDWWWDDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.10
Against
4.40
8.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.10goals per match
Lyon conceded0.90
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.10goals per match
Monaco conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.40
8.10
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.70
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
26.80
Match total
25.10

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
5.30
On target
6.20
19%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%38.6%-2.8 pp
Draw26.6%23.9%-2.8 pp
Away31.9%37.5%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.401.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-210.2%
0-09.1%
1-09.1%
2-19.1%
0-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.85
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%32.1%–67.9% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT15.4%6.2%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals26.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.7%
Away26.9%