Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 14:00
13.7225.6%
X3.3128.8%
22.0945.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dijon
LLDDLLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Metz
WLWWLWWDLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.80
Against
6.50
7.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Dijon attack

0.40goals per match
Metz conceded1.20
Matchup

Metz attack

1.30goals per match
Dijon conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.40N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.50
7.20
Match total
9.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.00
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.40
Match total
26.60

Shots

8.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
2.10
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%30.2%+4.6 pp
Draw28.8%26.4%-2.4 pp
Away45.6%43.4%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.001.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
1-015.1%
1-37.5%
0-27.5%
0-35.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.15
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away60.0%