Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 14:00
12.6935.4%
X3.3828.2%
22.6236.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
DWLLWLWDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nantes
LLDLDWDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.20
Against
4.80
9.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.60goals per match
Nantes conceded1.50
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.20goals per match
Brest conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.80
9.50
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
25.90
Match total
31.10

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%33.1%-2.3 pp
Draw28.2%29.6%+1.4 pp
Away36.4%37.3%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.191.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-113.2%
1-09.8%
1-28.4%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.85
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%20.8%–38.9% CI
Draw FT34.4%25.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT36.6%27.5%–46.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.7%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away59.1%