Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 20:00
11.4267.1%
X4.6020.7%
27.8412.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WDLWWDDWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Nice
LDWLLLWDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
0.60
2H goals
1.40
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.70
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.10goals per match
Nice conceded1.50
Matchup

Nice attack

1.10goals per match
Lille conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.70
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.00
Match total
24.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.60
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.1%78.4%+11.3 pp
Draw20.7%11.8%-9.0 pp
Away12.2%9.8%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS31.4%

Historical average

2.020.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.6%
2-115.7%
1-015.7%
3-011.8%
4-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.73
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT82.4%59.0%–93.8% CI
Draw FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Away FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away17.6%