Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 16:00
11.3471.0%
X5.4917.3%
28.1911.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
WWWWWWLLLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Lens
LLDWWDDWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
2.60
Against
6.90
9.20
Total
12.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.20goals per match
Lens conceded1.40
Matchup

Lens attack

1.50goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
2.60
Corners against
6.90
9.20
Match total
12.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.20
Match total
5.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.30
Match total
25.00

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.90
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.0%60.9%-10.1 pp
Draw17.3%26.6%+9.2 pp
Away11.6%12.5%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.3%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

2.130.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.3%
1-112.5%
3-012.5%
2-19.4%
2-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.143.75
Average total10.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.4%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.539.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–17.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals83.3%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away27.8%